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A resilient U.S. economy and cooling inflation fueled an intense year-end bond rally. Now, some suspect investors are too sanguine about the months ahead.
The rally marked the latest in a series of swings that sent the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury, which falls when bond prices rise, leaping and diving throughout the past 12 months. Fears of a prolonged stretch of higher interest rates repeatedly drove the yield to decade-plus highs, only for stress on the banking system and a Federal Reserve pivot to drag it down again.
The thoughts and opinions expressed in the article are solely those of the person speaking as of 12/30/2023, and not necessarily those of Sierra and are provided for informational purposes only. Any opinion or estimate contained in this article is made on a general basis and is not to be relied upon by the reader as advice. The reader must make his/her own assessment of the relevance, accuracy, and adequacy of the information contained in this article, and make such independent investigations as he/she may consider necessary or appropriate for the purpose of such assessment.
0342-SI00XLAP 01042023
